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Australian Open 2020 Mens Preview | Draw Analysis + Predictions

January 19, 2020

This is video is going to be very, very controversial. *Static* It’s a new decade so the question many have
is: will the first major of the 2020s see a non-Big 3 player win a slam? I’ll break down the 2020 Australian Open
Mens Draw and predict who will take it all, here on GS Tennis News Today. World #1 Rafael Nadal will first face Hugo
Dellien, followed by Joao Sousa and Pablo Carreno Busta. He’s then projected to face either Khachanov
or Kyrgios. In the quarters he could meet Thiem, in the
semis Medvedev and in the either either Roger or Novak. Defending champ Novak Djokovic has a very
tough opener against Jan Lennard Struff. After that he has a relatively simple path
to the quarters as Tatsuma Ito, dan evans, and diego schwartzman. In the quarters he’s projected to face Stefanos
Tsitsipas, the semis Roger Federer, and in the finals Nadal or Medvedev. Third seed Roger Federer will face Stevie
Johnson in the first round, before possibly meeting Filip Krajinovic, Ugo Humbert, and
Denis Shapovalov. In the last 8 he’s set to play against Matteo
Berrettini or Borna Coric. In the final four he may meet none other Novak
Djokovic and in the finals it’s Nadal or Medvedev. Fourth seeded Daniil Medvedev will start his
campaign for his first major against Frances Tiafoe, Dominik Koepfer, and Jo-Wilfred Tsonga
protectedly. In the round of 16 he’ll probably meet either
Wawrinka or Isner, and in the quarters Alexander Zverev. Nadal or Thiem are projected semifinal opponents
and in the finals its Djokovic and Federer. In the first section of course we have top-ranked
Rafael Nadal and I see him getting to the second week with no problem. Pablo Carreno Busta is the best possible player
but he just doesnt have the game to beat his compatriot. The bottom pasty of this mini-section is where
all the fun will happen as Nick Kyrgios and Karen Khachanov look to give the Spaniard
his first big test of the tournament. If it does come between Khachanov and Kyrgios
to face Rafa, Im picking Karen because he’s not only the steadier player, but Nick’s
ATP Cup loss to Bautista Agut showed me that if you’re able to consistently get back
his serve he loses confidence in his game and self-implodes. A Khachanov-Nadal fourth round I feel will
be reminiscent of their 2018 US Open clash and I see Rafa coming through in four tight
sets. The next section is Thiem’s and don’t
think too much of it to be fair. Its not too difficult but not that easy either. I don’t see Fritz meeting the Austrian in
the third round instead this will be South African Kevin Anderson who’s ATP Cup showing
was impressive. In the top-half Gael Monfils and Felix-Auger
Aliassime are on a collision course for a third round romp. I instead think we’re in for an all-Canadian
third rounder because Vasek Pospisil too has impressed me. I think Felix will get through this potential
matchup and face Domi in the fourth round, with the more experienced Thiem reaching his
first Australian Open quarterfinal. Daniil Medvedev headlines the next section
and its honestly not going to be that easy for him to make the quarters. He first gets an unpredictable Frances Tiafoe,
and in the third round an even more unpredictable Stan Wawrinka. Wawrinka and Isner are very likely to play
each other and if it happens the Swiss player will take this because I feel Isner is way
past his prime. A Medvedev-Wawrinka fourth round will be a
rematch of last years US Open quarterfinal. For some strange reason Im compelled to go
with Stan on this one and I can’t quite tell you why. Daniil is coming into Melbourne with the better
form, but I have a strange reason Stan will surprise us this slam. vcIn the last section of the top half there’s
Alexander Zverev with one of his best changes to make the quarters. Although David Goffin is his projected fourth
round opponent, I see Alex meeting Adelaide champion Andrey Rublev in the fourth round
with the Russian reaching the quarterfinals. Its really nothing more than needs to be explained
the Rublev is by far the best player in the section and should make the last 8. This next Italian headlined section has Matteo
Berrettini trying to go deep in his second consecutive slam. He will at least make it to the third round
but will most likely not make the second week. He doesn’t have much matchplay at all and
despite his favorable draw fellow big servers Sam Querrey and Reilly Opelka could make things
hard for him. Focusing on the other Italian Fognini I feel
like it will be a repeat of the US Open first round which Opelka won in four. Wrapping this one up I predict Coric and Opelka
will meet in the fourth round, with Coric advancing. Roger Federer’s section is next to break
down and is honestly the typical Fed draw and he should make it to the fourth round
without too much of a fuss. Shapovalov and Dimitrov will probably meet
in the third round and Shapovalov is not only my pick in this match but my pick in this
section. Yes i do think Denis will beat Roger in the
fourth round not only because of the youngster fiery game style and how he’s currently
playing some of his best tennis, but I don’t think Roger not playing a lead up tournament
or even match will suit him well. Thus I think Shapovalov will build on his
stellar ATP Cup performance and go deep in a major for the first time. Tsitsipas headlines the penultimate section
as well as Roberto Bautista Agut, and I believe these two will meet for in the round of 16,
thus being a rematch of last years quarter at the same setting. In a section littered with big servers I pick
Bautista Agut to break through and reach the quarters in Melbourne as he’s been the best
player of the bunch, I feel in the Australian open lead ups. In the final section we have our defending
champion Novak Djokovic and other than the tricky opening round match, I believe its
going to be a cakewalk to the quarters as nobody here as the big game to hurt him. Struff will literally be his biggest task
and should he get through this one, which I believe he will, the last 8 is definitely
his. The section does offer an interesting first
rounder in Diego Schwartzman going against Adelaide runner-up Lloyd Harris. Speaking of interesting first rounders here
are the popcorn matches you need to look out for. Back to the predictions, I believe Thiem will
beat Nadal and I say this sheepishly because I have the feeling that Rafa’s body won’t
hold up. I pick him and the Russian Rublev to meet
in the quarters, with the more experienced Thiem making his first hardcourt slam final. The bottom half finalist is much more of a
safer choice as I believe Novak Djokovic will once again reach the Australian Open final
getting by Denis Shapovalov in the semis. Im going with Novak to take his 8th title
down under because he would probably be coming into this match the fresher of the two AND
is still looking for revenge over Domi from the two Paris and London losses. Thats it for my Australian Open mens preview,
and tell me whether you agree with my.. controversial picks and predictions in the comment section
below. Also, make sure you subscribe and click the
notification bell so you’re notified whenever we post new content. Thanks for watching and we’ll see you next
time here on GS Tennis News Today.


  • Reply Varun Thopcherneni January 19, 2020 at 7:00 am

    I think Djoko will beat either Rafa or Kyrigios in the final.

  • Reply Larry Miller January 19, 2020 at 7:04 am

    Love this

  • Reply Russian Megabot January 19, 2020 at 7:18 am

    rogers draw is very hard. 3rd round against hurkasz or humbert and 4th round dimi or shapo. this is sick

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